EL BATAN, Mexico (CIMMYT) — A new study predicts that climate change will have a large impact on agricultural societies in sub-Saharan Africa that go beyond changes in crop yields or farm income. Immediate secondary consequences include increased vulnerability to diseases, susceptibility to nutritional disorders, deprivation of educational opportunities and ultimately, a reduction in human and societal development potential among the countries analyzed in the study.
In contrast to previous efforts, this study directly integrates the uncertainties in estimations of income changes and secondary consequences through a weighting scheme. The article concludes by proposing a portfolio of policy options for ameliorating the secondary impacts of climate change including renewed efforts to develop and extend adaptation solutions, like irrigation or water harvesting, that are not currently widely adopted in the African context. Additional interventions include implementing supplementary feeding programs, financial assistance for education, ensuring low cost health care is available and increasing efforts to reduce the cost of and improve public transportation.
Learn more about the study “Climate change and indicators of probable shifts in the consumption portfolios of dryland farmers in Sub-Saharan Africa” and other new publications from CIMMYT below.
- Climate change and indicators of probable shifts in the consumption portfolios of dryland farmers in Sub-Saharan Africa: implications for policy. 2016. Amjath-Babu, T.S.; Muhammad
- Effect of drought and elevated temperature on grain zinc and iron concentrations in CIMMYT spring wheat. 2016. Velu, G.; Huerta-Espino, J.; Singh, R.P.; Mondal, S.; Guzman, C.; Autrique, E. Journal of Cereal Science 69 : 182-186.
- Foliar abscisic acid-to-ethylene accumulation and response regulate shoot growth sensitivity to mild drought in wheat. 2016. Valluru, R.; Davies, W.J.; Dodd, I.C.; Reynolds, M.P. Frontiers in Plant Science 7 : 1-13.
- Genetic variation of carotenoids, vitamin E and phenolic compounds in biofortified maize. 2016. Muzhingi, T.; Miranda, A.; Cabrera, M.L.; Yeum, K.J.; Tang, G.; Palacios-Rojas, N. Journal of the Science of Food and Agriculture. Online First.
- Genomic prediction for grain zinc and iron concentrations in spring wheat. 2016. Velu, G.; Pérez-Rodríguez, P.; Chatrath, R.; Gupta, V.; Balasubramaniam, A.; Chhavi Tiwari; Vinod Kumar Mishra; Sohu, V.S.; Gurvinder Singh Mavi; Crossa, J.; Singh, R.P.; Dreisigacker, S.; Joshi, A.K.; Yuanfeng Hao. Theoretical and Applied Genetics. Online First.
- Genomic prediction of Gene Bank wheat landraces. 2016. Crossa, J.; Jarquín, D.; Franco-Barrera, J.; Pérez-Rodríguez, P.; Akdemir, D.; Peña, J.; Sneller, C.; Petroli, C.D.; Sansaloni, C.P.; Vikram, P.; Payne, T.S.; Wenzl, P.; Sukhwinder-Singh; Burgueño, J.; Reynolds, M.P.; Saint Pierre, C.; Guzman, C.; Tattaris, M. G3. Online First.
- Soil and water conservation on Central American hillsides: if more technologies is the answer, what is the question?. 2016. Hellin, J.; Lopez-Ridaura, S. AIMS Agriculture and Food 1 (1) : 194-207.
- The effect of maize grain size on the physicochemical properties of isolated starch, crude maize flour and nixtamalized maize flours. 2016. Vega-Rojas, L.J.; Contreras-Padilla, M.; Rincon-Londoño, N.; Real López, A. del; Lima-Garcia, R.M.; Rodriguez-Garcia, M.F.; Palacios-Rojas, N. Agricultural sciences 7 : 114-125.
- The influence of gender and product design on farmers’ preferences for weather-indexed crop insurance. 2016. Akter, S.; Khanam, F.; Rossi, F.J.; Krupnik, T.J. Global Environmental Change 38 : 217-229.
- Use of rapid tests to predict quality traits of CIMMYT bread wheat genotypes grown under different environments. 2016. Food Science and Technology 69 : 327-333.